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Open source: The money is in the cloud

December 4th, 2009 No comments

For those entrepreneurs looking to make a living from open-source software, Index Ventures general partner Bernard Dallé has some advice: get thee to a cloud strategy.

Bernard Dallé

(Credit: Index Ventures)

Why? At a time when enterprises may be less willing to spend on software, they’re increasingly interested in spending on the operation of that software through cloud computing, an interest that can be bought…and sold.

The cloud isn’t simply a clever way to provide social-networking services, either. As Dallé suggested in a phone interview on Wednesday, cloud computing may well be the best way to monetize enterprise-facing open-source software.

He should know. Index Ventures has been one of the most successful investors in the changing world of software, hitting home runs with MySQL, Skype, and more. So when Dallé says that as much as 70 percent of the investment opportunities they see now are cloud-related, and that this bodes well for open source, it’s worth paying attention.

Given that the cloud renders software less visible to end users, I asked Dallé if cloud computing spells the end for open-source businesses. Far from it, he said:

I think it’s good news. I don’t think open source is going away. It’s here to stay. The world is increasingly moving to a hybrid world: a combination of on-premises and cloud computing. We’re not going to see a 100 percent cloud world.

If I look at our portfolio, even our “open-source companies” like Pentaho, OpenX, and DimDim are turning to the cloud to monetize their open-source software assets.

Open source provides a convenient on-ramp and off-ramp for customers, helping them evaluate the software at low to no cost and also gives a free (as in cost and as in freedom) exit in case things go wrong. Between that entrance and exit is a ripe opportunity to make a lot of money by delivering value to customers.

Dallé further explained that open source helps vendors reach customers through low-cost distribution, but cloud computing, importantly, makes the open-source software palatable to a class of customer that finds open source too risky, yet has no problem using it when hosted.

If this sounds like a potent mix, it’s because it is. It’s also a highly efficient, low-cost way to start and build a company. Dallé elaborates:

The other big trend, not related to open source, is cloud-on-cloud: cloud services running on other clouds. It used to be that everyone ran their own data center, but now an increasing number of companies are happily running their services on Amazon EC2 or other public clouds. This dramatically lowers the cost of starting a service, and starting a company around it.

This might raise the concern that we’ll see too many open source/cloud companies, not too few. Dallé isn’t worried: “The quality of an investment always comes down to the quality of the people involved and their execution.”

If Dallé’s correct, the right place to look for open-source businesses to flourish is at the nexus of on-premises open-source software and cloud computing. It could prove to be a potent mix. And while the cloud might not be the right delivery platform for some software, it probably does have a high degree of salience for many.

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Open source: The money is in the cloud

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TechCrunch Tablet Update: Prototype B

January 21st, 2009 No comments

It’s time for an update on the progress we’ve made on the low cost touch screen tablet that I first wrote about in July 2008 when I asked for a dead simple touch screen web tablet that boots right to the browser. Here’s our first post on the tablet, which we’re now calling the CrunchPad internally.

The idea is to get a new type of device into people’s hands for as cheap as possible (we were aiming for $200, it looks like $299 is more realistic). It fits perfectly on your lap while you are sitting in front of the TV, so you can look up stuff on Wikipedia or IMDB as you channel surf. It plays Flash video flawlessly so you can watch movies and TV shows on Hulu or Joost or wherever. Or listen to music on MySpace Music. Or use TokBox to have a video chat with your parents. Then check email and call it a day. Facebook, MySpace, YouTube, Hulu, Wikipedia, Google Docs and Gmail are the killer apps for this device.

Because the device skips the resource-sucking parts of the operating system and focuses on one application – the browser – very low end hardware can be used and still give users a desktop-like Internet browsing experience.

We built a working but very humble Prototype A in August. It barely booted, but once it did it was a working touch screen web tablet built on very low end hardware. And when I surfed the web with it, I knew I wanted one that worked properly.

Since August a lot has happened. First, we now have a team lead – Louis Monier. Louis, formerly the founder/CTO of AltaVista (he is credited with building one of the first Internet search engines), has also spent time at eBay (head of the Advanced Technology Group), Google and Cuil. Louis left Cuil in the Fall and has been spending his spare time working with outside teams to build the new prototype. He’s in love with the project, and we’re lucky to get his time.

Second, we’ve completed Prototype B of the CrunchPad and are ready to show it to you. I include pictures and video to show it in action.

CrunchPad Prototype B

The device has a 12-inch touchscreen with a 4:3 aspect ratio (which is ideal for web browsing in my opinion). It is powered with a Via Nano processor, which has performed at par with the Intel Atom in our testing. 1 GB of ram (its more than we need) and a 4 GB flash drive to store the OS and browser and any cache. Resolution is 1024×768, which means the vast majority of websites are viewed in full width without scrolling. The device also has wifi, an accelerometer (so when you turn the screen on its side you can view more of a web page), a camera and a four cell battery. Total cost of the device, when we include estimates for the case, codecs and other miscellaneous items, is just over $200. Prototype B is actually much less expensive because the screen we used isn’t very good. The price estimate includes a much better, more expensive LCD.

The case, which was designed and built by David Yarnell and Greg Lalier from Dynacept, is 12.5? x 9.7? x 1.3?. It’s about twice as thick as is needs to be without further engineering – we just built in a safety thickness in case of heat or other issues. The device weighs three pounds, partially due to the extra batteries we’ve stuffed into it to see how long we can run it without power. Still, the device weighs in at 2 oz less than the 10? eeePC.

The software: currently we’re running a full install of Ubuntu Linux on the prototype with a custom Webkit browser. A lot of the work done to date has been on the drivers and the virtual keyboard, which you can see in the videos. The software has been created by Singapore-based Fusion Garage, who continue to work with Louis on the feature set and user experience.

More pictures:




Here are the videos:

What’s next?

We’ve completed our original goal of building a “dead simple and dirt cheap touch screen web tablet to surf the web.” The hardware is nearing lockdown. Software development is rolling. And we’ve spent very little money to get to this point.

We’ve received thousands of comments and emails from people who want this device right now. We’ve had tremendous support from the community in helping us build the prototypes, and Via has been flat out amazing with their support of the project.

We’ve also gotten quite a bit of interest from the investment community. The real question for us is whether this project has legs and should go forward towards production units, which is a very big step from a working prototype. That would require spinning the company off from the blog and building a team around Louis. It’s a decision we haven’t made yet.

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TechCrunch Tablet Update: Prototype B

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As Options Fade, Lehman Is Said to Seek a Buyer : A Wall Street Icon crumbles

September 12th, 2008 No comments

This article was reported by Jenny Anderson, Andrew Ross Sorkin and Ben White and written by Mr. White.

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Michael Falco for The New York Times

Suitors of Lehman Brothers are seeking help from the Federal Reserve to help make an acquisition palatable.

A day after Lehman Brothers sought to assure Wall Street that it could survive on its own, the beleaguered investment bank, urged on by federal officials, bowed to mounting pressure on Thursday and put itself up for sale.

As confidence in Lehman continued to drain away on Thursday, the bank, one of the oldest names on Wall Street, reached out to several potential buyers, including Bank of America and Barclays, the big British bank, according to people briefed on the negotiations. Lehman hopes to strike a deal within days.

In each case, the suitors are seeking help from the Federal Reserve to help make an acquisition palatable. They want the Fed to guarantee a part of Lehman’s troubled assets, these people said, similar to the way it backstopped the emergency sale of another foundering bank, Bear Stearns, in March.

But while the Treasury Department and Fed were working to broker an orderly sale of Lehman, it was unclear whether the Fed would stand behind any deal, particularly after the Bush administration took control of the nation’s two largest mortgage finance companies only days ago.

The test will come if potential buyers balk at a purchase without the Fed’s backing. If that were to happen, federal officials would be left to evaluate what risks a sudden collapse of Lehman might pose to the broader financial system.

The rapid decline of Lehman underscores that investors remain unnerved, with rumors about an institution’s problems quickly becoming a self-fulfilling prophecy, as other banks seek to distance themselves to limit their financial exposure.

Even so, while Lehman’s share price fell $3.03 on Thursday to $4.22, leaving it down nearly 94 percent this year, the shares of other financial companies, including the big thrift Washington Mutual, stabilized after days of losses.

Lehman has few options.

Its stock’s relentless decline has convinced Richard S. Fuld Jr., Lehman’s hard-charging chief executive, that the time has come to let go.

“He’s shell-shocked, but he knows he has to sell,” said one person who recently spoke to Mr. Fuld.

Lehman, which employs nearly 25,000 people around the world, tried to convince investors on Wednesday that it could survive on its own by selling divisions and spinning off commercial real estate assets, but its stock continued to decline. Any buyer would almost certainly cut thousands of jobs as it absorbed Lehman’s operations, which include a valuable money management division.

Bank of America is still trying to integrate its purchase of Countrywide, the giant home mortgage lender, but has long considered buying a New York-based investment bank.

Barclays has long insisted that it planned to build out its own investment banking presence in the United States, but Lehman’s price may prove too cheap to resist, people close to the matter said. Spokespeople for Lehman, Barclays and Bank of America all declined to comment.

Other bidders could include private equity groups such as Kohlberg, Kravis, Roberts & Company, which was already planning to bid for Lehman’s investment management division. However, the Federal Reserve is thought to prefer that Lehman be bought by a publicly traded bank with a more stable capital base. Potential suitors for Lehman’s investment management division have discussed securing financing for a deal with Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Credit Suisse and others, people involved in the process said.

Should Lehman be sold by the weekend, it would complete a slow-burn collapse that began when the credit crisis began to take hold in summer 2007.

Lehman, whose roots date to its founding as an Alabama cotton exchange in the 1850s, got into trouble by expanding aggressively into the financing of real estate, including subprime mortgages.

In 2006, Lehman was the top underwriter of subprime mortgage securities with an 11 percent market share, according to Inside Mortgage Finance.

When the mortgage crisis first flared, many Lehman executives, and others on Wall Street, believed the crisis would be short-lived. Mr. Fuld was characteristically defiant.

“Do we have some stuff on the books that would be tough to get rid of? Yes,” he said last summer. “Is it going to kill us? Of course not.”

As the year came to a close, Lehman still looked as if it had dodged the bullet. While other many Wall Street firms and commercial banks reported huge write-downs and losses last year, Lehman reported $4.1 billion in profits. The board awarded Mr. Fuld a compensation package of more than $40 million.

To some, however, Lehman’s results were ominous. The bank reported gross write-downs of $3.5 billion — $2.2 billion in residential mortgages and $1.3 billion in commercial mortgages. A further deterioration in the market would have left Lehman dangerously exposed. And yet in February, the market still had faith that Lehman was more a winner than a casualty of the credit debacle. Its stock hovered around $66.

But in March, the shock over Bear’s rapid unwinding took its toll on Lehman, a powerful Wall Street institution but the smallest player after Bear. The stock went into free fall and the cost of buying protection against the default of its bonds soared.

Lehman went on the offensive, announcing that it would raise equity. Its stock soared 18 percent, but the respite was short-lived, In late May, a well-respected hedge fund manager, David Einhorn, made a case to an auditorium packed with other investors that Lehman was not marking its books accurately.

From mid-May to mid-June, the stock lost almost half its value. In late May, a team of executives led by Thomas Russo flew to Asia to meet with Korean investors. But almost immediately it was clear the Koreans would need more time than Lehman had to offer, and that the two sides were far apart on price.

Management shifted to Plan B, raising money closer to home. One executive, Larry Wieseneck, global head of finance, ended a trip to return and help raise $6 billion from investors including the New Jersey state pension fund.

But the turmoil at Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and the continued deterioration in the housing market put further pressure on Lehman through the summer as it made the bank’s own real estate holdings less valuable.

Analysts began to fear an even larger third-quarter loss for Lehman, which the bank disclosed on Wednesday with its poorly received strategic plan to remain independent.

For Mr. Fuld, the moment of truth came when credit ratings agencies downgraded their assessments this week.

Moody’s said that if Lehman did not find a strategic buyer in the “near term,” the agency would downgrade the investment bank, making it difficult for some institutions to do business with the firm. “That’s when BlackBerrys started buzzing,” said one Wall Street banker. “It was clear Lehman would have to be sold.”

Ed Note : I was having a discussion with an informed friend last year when the meltdown in the US was just starting, he first asserted that this was never going to reach Europe, he then said it will be over rather soon; that was before UBS got taken, now he says that European banks have invested in former Soviet bloc countires and are on solid ground; I beg to differ, the old world model, the Capitalist model was, if you had money, you hired minions who did what you TOLD them out of FEAR, even if your ideas were worth mud, add to this that people at all levels were stealing and you have a self – destructing structure – whether it takes 200 or 50 years it WILl go udner because its all speculative, and one day the bottom will drop out – i think people still do not get it, Captialism worked because people could be kept in the dark, when information is freely available and distributed expenetially increasing numbers of humans will start to think for themselves – case in point is the Fiat Lancia Ad starring some Tibetan monks and Richard Gere

… with sufficient media coverage prior to this, Mr Gere is easily identifiable as a very strong voice anti – China voice  … in this Ad he is seen driving away from Hollywood and to a group of ( easily identifiable ) Tibetan monks, upon arrival by pressing his hands intot the snow he throws his lot in with them; he has also thrown his lot in with Hollywood at the begining of the Ad; the car iself is supposed to represent ” being different “  — it will be hard to explain that the car is not trying to tell the Chinese that it is different becasue it throws it lot in with the Tibetan cause.

This ad is a perfect example of the changing nature of our world and Captialism; top – down heirarchies that force stupid ideas on people are truly dead, how many more Wall Street Colalpses will it take for policy makers to accept that until the middle-class has it ” ok and good ” nobody is safe ?

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As Options Fade, Lehman Is Said to Seek a Buyer : A Wall Street Icon crumbles

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